The Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) developed a simulation model of opioid-related deaths that provides information on the number of these deaths that might occur through to December 2023.
PHAC publishes data on opioid-related harms every 3 months based on coroner and medical examiner investigations. These data help to provide a national picture, inform decision makers, and guide response efforts. At the national level, there is an average 6-month delay between a death occurring and it being included in the data. To supplement these data, PHAC developed a model for projecting opioid-related deaths that might occur in Canada. This report presents the results from the model.